Compute Institute
Ratings for the physical buildout of AI
Novva Data Centers Mesa

Novva Data Centers Mesa

Planned
Probable

Jurisdiction: US — Arizona (APS/SRP)

Ellsworth & Warner roads, southeast Mesa, Arizona; 160 acres, 1.3M sq ft data hall. Phase 1 (96MW) late 2026; $3B+ over two phases.

Capacity
300 MW basis: facility total
GPUs (est.)
Capex
Announced
Target operational

Delivery health score

51 /100
51/100

Methodology prs-v0.1 · computed · trigger: manual

Schedule

60 /100
60/100

Regulatory

50 /100
50/100

Infrastructure

50 /100
50/100

Capital

50 /100
50/100

Why this score — factor breakdown

Each factor below contributed to the current score. Contributions are rubric weights from methodology prs-v0.1; every factor cites the record it is derived from.

Dimension
Factor
Contribution
Cites
Narrative
Capital baseline 40 Novva Data Centers Mesa No committed capital evidenced on any entity role — announcement-only anchor region (§B.2.4).
Capital staleness decay +10 Novva Data Centers Mesa Newest capital evidence is 2024-09-04 (freshness window 12 months) — score drifts one rubric level toward the stage-default prior of 50 (§B.4: silence is information).
Regulatory staleness decay -20 Novva Data Centers Mesa Newest regulatory evidence is 2024-09-04 (freshness window 9 months) — score drifts one rubric level toward the stage-default prior of 50 (§B.4: silence is information).
Infrastructure baseline 70 Novva Data Centers Mesa No-adverse-evidence infrastructure baseline (disclosed config, scoring.prs.baselines).
Infrastructure staleness decay -20 Novva Data Centers Mesa Newest infrastructure evidence is 2024-09-04 (freshness window 9 months) — score drifts one rubric level toward the stage-default prior of 50 (§B.4: silence is information).
Regulatory baseline 70 Novva Data Centers Mesa No-adverse-evidence regulatory baseline (disclosed config, scoring.prs.baselines).
Schedule baseline 80 Novva Data Centers Mesa No-adverse-evidence schedule baseline (disclosed config, scoring.prs.baselines).
Schedule milestone achieved +5 Announcement Milestone "Announcement" achieved on/ahead of its first announced date (2024-09-04).
Schedule staleness decay -25 Novva Data Centers Mesa Newest schedule evidence is 2024-09-04 (freshness window 6 months) — score drifts one rubric level toward the stage-default prior of 50 (§B.4: silence is information).

Milestones

  1. Announcement

    Achieved

    Announcement · Actual:

  2. Commissioning

    Expected
    1 revision

    Commissioning · Expected:

Constraint observations

No active constraint observations recorded against this project.

Entities & roles

Entity
Role
Ownership
Committed capital
Novva Data Centers
Owner

Sources & citations

Every substantive field on this record is backed by a canonical claim from a cited source document, graded on the E1 (strongest) – E5 (weakest) evidence ladder.

  1. AZ Big Media · Sep 4, 2024 · backs: actual date, capacity mw, expected date, status

    https://azbigmedia.com/business/novva-data-centers-will-build-3-billion-campus-in-mesa/

Signals

Recent ingested source documents linked to this project via extracted claims or triage mentions, newest first.

  1. · AZ Big Media