Compute Institute
Ratings for the physical buildout of AI
AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle)

AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle)

Operating
Confirmed

Jurisdiction: US — Rest of US (composite)

1,200-acre campus near New Carlisle, St. Joseph County, Indiana (coordinates approximate)

Capacity
2,200 MW basis: facility total
GPUs (est.)
Capex
$11.0B
Announced
Target operational

Delivery health score

77 /100
77/100

Methodology prs-v0.1 · computed · trigger: scheduled

Schedule

90 /100
90/100

Regulatory

70 /100
70/100

Infrastructure

60 /100
60/100

Capital

90 /100
90/100

Why this score — factor breakdown

Each factor below contributed to the current score. Contributions are rubric weights from methodology prs-v0.1; every factor cites the record it is derived from.

Dimension
Factor
Contribution
Cites
Narrative
Capital capital commitment +50 Amazon Web Services (investor) investor role committed $11,000,000,000 (coverage 100% of $11,000,000,000 capex).
Infrastructure baseline 70 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) No-adverse-evidence infrastructure baseline (disclosed config, scoring.prs.baselines).
Capital baseline 40 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) Capital base before committed-capital evidence (announcement-only anchor region, §B.2.4).
Infrastructure interconnection progress +15 Energization Power/interconnection milestone "Energization" achieved on 2025-10-01 — largest single health event (§B.2.3).
Infrastructure staleness decay -25 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) Newest infrastructure evidence is 2025-10-01 (freshness window 9 months) — score drifts one rubric level toward the stage-default prior of 50 (§B.4: silence is information).
Regulatory baseline 70 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) No-adverse-evidence regulatory baseline (disclosed config, scoring.prs.baselines).
Schedule baseline 80 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) No-adverse-evidence schedule baseline (disclosed config, scoring.prs.baselines).
Schedule milestone achieved +5 Energization Milestone "Energization" achieved on/ahead of its first announced date (2025-10-01).
Schedule milestone achieved +5 Groundbreaking Milestone "Groundbreaking" achieved on/ahead of its first announced date (2024-09-01).

Milestones

  1. Groundbreaking

    Achieved

    Groundbreaking · Actual:

  2. Energization

    Achieved

    Energization · Actual:

  3. Groundbreaking

    Expected
    1 revision

    Groundbreaking · Expected:

Constraint observations

No active constraint observations recorded against this project.

Entities & roles

Entity
Role
Ownership
Committed capital
Amazon Web Services
Investor
100% $11.0B
Amazon Web Services
Operator
Amazon Web Services
Owner
Indiana Michigan Power (AEP)
Power Supplier
Indiana Michigan Power (AEP)
Utility Provider
Anthropic
Anchor Tenant
Ryan Companies
General Contractor
Annapurna Labs (Amazon)
Chip Supplier
Walbridge
General Contractor
Clayco
General Contractor
Angelo Iafrate
General Contractor

Sources & citations

Every substantive field on this record is backed by a canonical claim from a cited source document, graded on the E1 (strongest) – E5 (weakest) evidence ladder.

  1. datacenter.news · backs: actual date, capacity mw, capex usd, status

    https://datacenter.news/story/aws-s-11bn-indiana-data-centre-powers-anthropic-s-ai-growth

  2. Blackridge Research · backs: expected date

    https://www.blackridgeresearch.com/project-profiles/aws-project-rainier-new-carlisle-indiana-usa-data-center-supercluster-cost-contractors-timeline-latest-updates

Signals

Recent ingested source documents linked to this project via extracted claims or triage mentions, newest first.

  1. · Measured AI (Corey Trinetti) · relevance 0.90

  2. · Amazon · relevance 0.85

  3. · CNBC · relevance 0.95

  4. WSBT 22 · relevance 0.75

  5. datacenter.news · relevance 0.70