Compute Institute
Ratings for the physical buildout of AI
AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle)

AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle)

Operating
Confirmed

Jurisdiction: US — Rest of US (composite)

1,200-acre campus near New Carlisle, St. Joseph County, Indiana (coordinates approximate)

Capacity
2,200 MW basis: facility total
GPUs (est.)
—
Capex
$11.0B
Announced
—
Target operational
—

Delivery health score

77 /100
77/100

Methodology prs-v0.1 · computed · trigger: scheduled

Schedule

90 /100
90/100

Regulatory

70 /100
70/100

Infrastructure

60 /100
60/100

Capital

90 /100
90/100

Why this score — factor breakdown

Each factor below contributed to the current score. Contributions are rubric weights from methodology prs-v0.1; every factor cites the record it is derived from.

Dimension
Factor
Contribution
Cites
Narrative
Capital capital commitment +50 Amazon Web Services (investor) investor role committed $11,000,000,000 (coverage 100% of $11,000,000,000 capex).
Infrastructure baseline 70 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) No-adverse-evidence infrastructure baseline (disclosed config, scoring.prs.baselines).
Capital baseline 40 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) Capital base before committed-capital evidence (announcement-only anchor region, §B.2.4).
Infrastructure interconnection progress +15 Energization Power/interconnection milestone "Energization" achieved on 2025-10-01 — largest single health event (§B.2.3).
Infrastructure staleness decay -25 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) Newest infrastructure evidence is 2025-10-01 (freshness window 9 months) — score drifts one rubric level toward the stage-default prior of 50 (§B.4: silence is information).
Regulatory baseline 70 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) No-adverse-evidence regulatory baseline (disclosed config, scoring.prs.baselines).
Schedule baseline 80 AWS Project Rainier (New Carlisle) No-adverse-evidence schedule baseline (disclosed config, scoring.prs.baselines).
Schedule milestone achieved +5 Energization Milestone "Energization" achieved on/ahead of its first announced date (2025-10-01).
Schedule milestone achieved +5 Groundbreaking Milestone "Groundbreaking" achieved on/ahead of its first announced date (2024-09-01).

Milestones

  1. Groundbreaking

    Achieved

    Groundbreaking · Actual:

  2. Energization

    Achieved

    Energization · Actual:

  3. Groundbreaking

    Expected
    1 revision

    Groundbreaking · Expected:

Constraint observations

No active constraint observations recorded against this project.

Entities & roles

Entity
Role
Ownership
Committed capital
Amazon Web Services
Investor
100% $11.0B
Amazon Web Services
Operator
— —
Amazon Web Services
Owner
— —
Indiana Michigan Power (AEP)
Power Supplier
— —
Indiana Michigan Power (AEP)
Utility Provider
— —
Anthropic
Anchor Tenant
— —
Ryan Companies
General Contractor
— —
Annapurna Labs (Amazon)
Chip Supplier
— —
Walbridge
General Contractor
— —
Clayco
General Contractor
— —
Angelo Iafrate
General Contractor
— —

Sources & citations

Every substantive field on this record is backed by a canonical claim from a cited source document, graded on the E1 (strongest) – E5 (weakest) evidence ladder.

  1. datacenter.news · backs: actual date, capacity mw, capex usd, status

    https://datacenter.news/story/aws-s-11bn-indiana-data-centre-powers-anthropic-s-ai-growth

  2. Blackridge Research · backs: expected date

    https://www.blackridgeresearch.com/project-profiles/aws-project-rainier-new-carlisle-indiana-usa-data-center-supercluster-cost-contractors-timeline-latest-updates

Signals

Recent ingested source documents linked to this project via extracted claims or triage mentions, newest first.

  1. · Measured AI (Corey Trinetti) · relevance 0.90

  2. · Amazon · relevance 0.85

  3. · CNBC · relevance 0.95

  4. WSBT 22 · relevance 0.75

  5. datacenter.news · relevance 0.70