Compute Institute
Ratings for the physical buildout of AI

Jurisdiction Index / Ireland

Ireland

Tier 3 · Contested
Positive
Rank #23 of 30
Data confidence B
54.1 /100

JCI composite · as of · methodology v0

Ireland scores 54.1/100 on the Compute Institute Jurisdiction Competitiveness Index (Tier 3, Contested), ranking #23 of 30 rated jurisdictions with a positive outlook, as of June 15, 2026 under methodology v0. Its strongest dimension is Stability & Execution Risk at 8.5/10; its weakest is Power Cost at 1.7/10. 16 of 22 sub-factors are scored on E1–E2 evidence (data confidence B). The positive outlook is driven by 6 forward-looking signals (+1.14 net points, E3–E4 evidence): cost certainty / contractability (E3), permitting regime (E3), observed construction velocity (E3), labor & supply capacity (E3), committed capital (E3) and sovereign/anchor capital availability (E3).

Dimension breakdown

Seven dimensions, each 0–10, weighted per methodology v0. JCI = Σ(dimension × weight) × 10.

Power Availability & Deliverability

3 /10 weight 20%

Power Cost

1.7 /10 weight 12.5%

Speed to Build

Not scored weight 17.5%

Regulatory & AI Policy Environment

5.4 /10 weight 12.5%

Fiscal & Incentives

6.4 /10 weight 10%

Capital & Ecosystem Depth

8.5 /10 weight 12.5%

Stability & Execution Risk

8.5 /10 weight 15%

Outlook drivers — Positive (+1.14 net points)

Forward-looking E3–E4 signals. They move the outlook only — never the base score.

  • Cost certainty / contractability
    E3
    +0.19 pts as of
    “Ireland hosts one of Europe's more active corporate PPA markets, with hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google) signing multiple wind/solar PPAs (partners including Orsted, Statkraft); the CRU's new 80%-additional-renewables-within-6-years rule effectively mandates long-term contracted renewable supply, supporting cost contractability despite high spot prices.”

    Source: Ireland Data Center Report 2024 (renewable PPA partnerships) (www.globenewswire.com)

  • Permitting regime
    E3
    -1.05 pts as of
    “DC planning runs through An Coimisiun Planala (formerly An Bord Pleanala) with material judicial-review exposure: the 200MW Art Data Centres campus in Co. Clare received its ABP permit in April 2024, then faced a High Court judicial review that was dismissed in March 2025, clearing the project after ~1 year of challenge; JR delay risk is real but the permit ultimately held rather than being blocked.”

    Source: RTE - Court says error over bat should not stop data centre (24 Mar 2025) (www.rte.ie)

  • Observed construction velocity
    E3
    +0.00 pts as of
    “Thin/honest grade: public disclosures show an established build base (~120 operating DCs, ~1,000+ MW pipeline) with hyperscaler campus-style execution at Grange Castle/Profile Park, but no internal-DB velocity series available; physical construction is competent while grid-connection sequencing, not building, is the binding delay.”

    Source: Ireland Data Center Market analyses (2024-2025 stock & pipeline) (www.mordorintelligence.com)

  • Labor & supply capacity
    E3
    +0.88 pts as of
    “Ireland sits inside the EU single market for equipment import and labour mobility, with a mature DC EPC/contractor ecosystem serving Europe's third-largest hyperscale hub (Dublin); construction labour and switchgear/transformer supply are EU-standard, a relative strength versus the grid bottleneck.”

    Source: Ireland Data Center Market Report 2025-2030 (hyperscale ecosystem) (www.globenewswire.com)

  • Committed capital
    E3
    +0.75 pts as of
    “Honest grade from public filings/announcements: hyperscalers run multi-campus DC investments in Dublin (AWS alone operates 30+ sites; Microsoft/Google extensive Grange Castle/Profile Park campuses), and market analysts project the Ireland DC market revenue reaching ~$4.45B by 2030, evidencing large committed AI-infra capital despite grid constraints.”

    Source: Arizton / Ireland DC Market - revenue to $4.45B by 2030 (www.barchart.com)

  • Sovereign/anchor capital availability
    E3
    +0.38 pts as of
    “The Ireland Strategic Investment Fund (ISIF), managed by the NTMA, is a multi-billion-euro sovereign development fund (reported ~$28B AUM by mid-2025 per Global SWF) with a dual commercial/economic-impact mandate that can anchor infrastructure including energy and connectivity; precise cumulative-since-2014 deployment and co-investment figures could not be confirmed from a primary human-readable source, so graded conservatively.”

    Source: Global SWF - ISIF fund profile (~$28B AUM, mid-2025) (globalswf.com)

Sub-factor scores and sources

Every base-scored input below carries E1–E2 evidence: a justification, an evidence-level grade, and a link to the underlying source document.

Power Availability & Deliverability — 3/10 (weight 20%)

Sub-factor
Score
Justification
Evidence
Source
Grid headroom 40% of dimension 2.5 /10 Data centres consumed 22% of Ireland's total metered electricity in 2024 (6,969 GWh, up 10% from 6,335 GWh in 2023 per CSO), forecast to reach 31% by 2034; the Dublin grid (where ~95 of ~120 DCs sit, ~50% of regional demand) was effectively at its physical ceiling, prompting EirG... as of
E1
CSO Data Centres Metered Electricity Consumption 2024 (released 10 Jun 2025) www.cso.ie
Time-to-power 35% of dimension 2 /10 A de-facto moratorium on new Dublin DC grid connections ran from 2021 until Dec 2025 (EirGrid had signalled no new Dublin connections possibly until 2028); the CRU2025236 decision now permits connections but only where grid-node capacity exists and only after the DC builds dispat... as of
E1
CRU Large Energy User connection policy decision (CRU2025236, Dec 2025) kpmg.com
Energy mix & expandability 15% of dimension 3 /10 2024 generation was 42% natural gas and 32% wind with 14% net imports; gas import dependency was 79.5% and overall energy import dependency 79.6% (vs EU ~58%), and the CRU now requires new DCs to self-supply 100% of MIC via front-of-meter generation/storage and meet 80% of annual... as of
E1
SEAI Energy in Ireland 2024 / National Energy Balance 2024 www.seai.ie
Water availability 10% of dimension 8 /10 Ireland is a low-baseline-water-stress jurisdiction in WRI Aqueduct 4.0 (temperate maritime climate, high rainfall), so DC cooling water supply is not a binding constraint; the WRI Aqueduct platform classifies Ireland in the low (<10% withdrawal-to-supply) water-stress band. as of
E2
WRI Aqueduct 4.0 Country Rankings www.wri.org

Power Cost — 1.7/10 (weight 12.5%)

Sub-factor
Score
Justification
Evidence
Source
Industrial electricity price 60% of dimension 1 /10 Ireland had the EU's highest non-household electricity prices: ~20.69 c/kWh ($224/MWh) for the 20,000-70,000 MWh band in 2024, easing to 19.14 c/kWh (~$207/MWh) in H2 2025 (Eurostat); both sit at/beyond the 0-anchor of >$140/MWh, making power cost a severe negative. as of
E1
Eurostat electricity price statistics (non-household) ec.europa.eu
Price trajectory & exposure 25% of dimension 3.5 /10 Prices eased modestly (20.69 to 19.14 c/kWh, 2024 to H2 2025) but Ireland remains structurally exposed: 79.5% gas-import dependent with 42% gas-fired generation, leaving wholesale power highly sensitive to EU gas prices and EU ETS carbon costs. as of
E2
Eurostat / SEAI National Energy Balance 2024 ec.europa.eu
Cost certainty / contractability 15% of dimension Excluded — no E1–E2 evidence available; weaker evidence cannot enter a base score.

Speed to Build (weight 17.5%)

Sub-factor
Score
Justification
Evidence
Source
Permitting regime 40% of dimension Excluded — no E1–E2 evidence available; weaker evidence cannot enter a base score.
Observed construction velocity 35% of dimension Excluded — no E1–E2 evidence available; weaker evidence cannot enter a base score.
Labor & supply capacity 25% of dimension Excluded — no E1–E2 evidence available; weaker evidence cannot enter a base score.

Regulatory & AI Policy Environment — 5.4/10 (weight 12.5%)

Sub-factor
Score
Justification
Evidence
Source
AI-specific law in force 35% of dimension 6 /10 The EU AI Act (Reg. 2024/1689) entered into force 1 Aug 2024 with phased application directly binding in Ireland: prohibited-practice rules from 2 Feb 2025, GPAI governance rules from 2 Aug 2025, and Annex III / Art. 6(1) high-risk obligations from 2 Aug 2027; an enacted, underwr... as of
E1
EU AI Act Article 113 (Entry into force and application) artificialintelligenceact.eu
DC-specific regulation 35% of dimension 2.5 /10 Ireland has a real, restrictive DC-specific regime: the CRU2025236 Large Energy User connection policy mandates that new DCs >10 MVA install dispatchable front-of-meter generation/storage covering 100% of MIC, provide power back to the grid, and source 80% of annual demand from a... as of
E1
CRU Large Energy User connection policy decision (CRU2025236, Dec 2025) www.pinsentmasons.com
Regulatory predictability 30% of dimension 8 /10 Ireland scores 1.79 on World Bank WGI Regulatory Quality (2024, scale -2.5 to +2.5; world avg -0.02) and 1.59 on Rule of Law (world avg -0.07), both among the strongest globally; rules are restrictive but transparently administered and legally underwriteable. as of
E1
World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators www.worldbank.org

Fiscal & Incentives — 6.4/10 (weight 10%)

Sub-factor
Score
Justification
Evidence
Source
Enacted incentives 40% of dimension 5.5 /10 Ireland offers an enacted R&D tax credit and capital allowances on plant/machinery and industrial buildings usable by DC operators, but has no DC-specific tax incentive and active policy now constrains rather than subsidises the sector - a moderate, honestly-graded incentive base... as of
E2
Chambers Corporate Tax 2025 - Ireland practiceguides.chambers.com
Headline tax burden 40% of dimension 8 /10 Ireland retains a 12.5% trading corporation tax rate (in force since 2003) for groups under EUR 750m turnover - among the most competitive in the OECD; large in-scope groups now face an effective 15% via the QDTT, still globally favourable. as of
E1
PwC Worldwide Tax Summaries - Ireland Corporate Income Tax taxsummaries.pwc.com
Incentive durability 20% of dimension 5 /10 OECD Pillar Two is now legislated in Ireland (IIR from 1 Jan 2024, UTPR from 1 Jan 2025, EUR 750m threshold), imposing a 15% minimum and a 2.5% QDTT top-up that erodes the historic 12.5% edge for large hyperscaler groups - a clear durability risk to Ireland's tax advantage. as of
E1
Dept of Finance / MHC - Pillar Two & QDTT in effect 2024-2025 www.gov.ie

Capital & Ecosystem Depth — 8.5/10 (weight 12.5%)

Sub-factor
Score
Justification
Evidence
Source
Committed capital 40% of dimension Excluded — no E1–E2 evidence available; weaker evidence cannot enter a base score.
Ecosystem 30% of dimension 8.5 /10 Dublin is the world's third-largest hyperscale DC hub and one of Europe's largest markets (~120 facilities, ~6,969 GWh consumed in 2024), with dense subsea-fibre landings, full hyperscaler presence (AWS/Microsoft/Google) and operators including Digital Realty, Equinix, EdgeConneX... as of
E2
Ireland Data Center market analyses + CSO 2024 consumption enable-research.ie
Sovereign/anchor capital availability 30% of dimension Excluded — no E1–E2 evidence available; weaker evidence cannot enter a base score.

Stability & Execution Risk — 8.5/10 (weight 15%)

Sub-factor
Score
Justification
Evidence
Source
Political/policy continuity 40% of dimension 8 /10 Ireland scores 0.71 on World Bank WGI Political Stability (2024, world avg -0.07) alongside strong Government Effectiveness, reflecting stable EU-member governance and policy continuity; DC policy is restrictive but set through orderly, predictable institutional processes. as of
E1
World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators www.worldbank.org
Currency, transfer & convertibility 35% of dimension 9.5 /10 Ireland uses the euro with full capital mobility and no exchange controls; S&P upgraded the sovereign to AA+ (from AA) in Mar 2026 (Moody's Aa3, Fitch AA), putting Ireland within one notch of AAA - essentially no transfer/convertibility risk. as of
E1
S&P Global sovereign rating upgrade to AA+ (Irish Times, 20 Mar 2026) www.irishtimes.com
Physical & geopolitical risk 25% of dimension 8 /10 Ireland faces low conventional physical/geopolitical risk (stable EU member, WGI Political Stability 0.71 vs world avg -0.07); the principal honest caveat is subsea-cable security exposure given Ireland's role as a major transatlantic fibre landing point, a tail risk rather than... as of
E2
World Bank WGI 2024 - Political Stability (Ireland 0.71) www.theglobaleconomy.com

Signals

Recent ingested source documents linked to this jurisdiction via extracted claims or triage mentions, newest first.

  1. www.theglobaleconomy.com · relevance 0.00

  2. www.irishtimes.com · relevance 0.00

  3. enable-research.ie · relevance 0.50

  4. globalswf.com · relevance 0.00

  5. www.barchart.com · relevance 0.40

  6. www.globenewswire.com · relevance 0.50

  7. www.gov.ie · relevance 0.00

  8. practiceguides.chambers.com · relevance 0.00

  9. taxsummaries.pwc.com · relevance 0.00

  10. www.pinsentmasons.com · relevance 0.50

Scores are reproducible from the frozen inputs snapshot recorded at computation time (2026-06-15T23:52:38+00:00). See the full methodology for rubrics, weights, and the evidence ladder.